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Cpi Rose 2.7% In February by big tree
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Cpi Rose 2.7% In February |
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Business,Business News,Business Opportunities
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Era of negative interest rates, inflationary pressures beginning to achieve, tightening fears intensify
3 11, National Bureau of Statistics announced in February the macroeconomic data. One striking is, CPI up 2.7% in accidents, new loan data, decreased by five percent. Central Bank Governor Zhou Xiaochuan at the "two sessions" site said, CPI "in line with our expectations."
Specific data, in February CPI rose 2.7%, 1.2 percentage points last month to expand, the chain rose 1.2%; February PPI rose 5.4%, 1.1 percentage points last month to expand; February M2 up 25.52 %, loans increased by 700.1 billion yuan.
In addition, 1-February CPI rose 2.1%; PPI rose 4.9%; scale industrial added value up 20.7% over the same period the previous year to speed up 16.9 percentage points higher than in December 2009 an acceleration of 2.2 percentage points; Urban fixed asset investment 1.3014 trillion yuan, up 26.6% over last year, accelerating 0.1 percentage points; accumulated total retail sales 2.5052 trillion yuan, up 17.9% over the same period the previous year to speed up 2.7 percentage points, compared with 2.4 in 2009 to speed up percentage points.
"Data recovery economy is in a normal channel, but not super-expected." Orient Securities analyst Kao macro to the "Popular Securities News," said; Guoxin Securities analyst Zhou Binglin macro is that the investment to achieve a smooth exit the possibility of still larger, but the manufacturing, real estate-oriented private investment is expected to take over, "Rail-based", formed in 2010, another bright spot in addition to exports outside.
CPI is expected to raise interest rates rise again
2 CPI rose 2.7% in the past 15 months not only to scale new high for the past, but also to promote the bank a year in one fell swoop deposit back "negative interest rate" era. This value is close to Premier Wen Jiabao made the People's Congress, the report set the maximum value of 3%. CPI growth unexpectedly accelerated, causing many institutions to interest rate expectations.
"Although the time window has been to raise interest rates, but the possibility of raising interest rates once a small, February CPI partial negative impact on the stock market." Yesterday Guotai Junan Securities Research Institute, chief economist at Thunder said, "3 continue to move up the possibility of increasing the month, is expected to lag the national approach will be adopted, to 3% in the CPI, after considering raising interest rates. " UBS economist Wang Tao
that the central bank may raise interest rates early in the 2 quarter to help manage inflation expectations. But the Industrial Bank fund operation center political commissar, chief economist Lu believes that interest rates may be even later He thinks that, in February CPI data for the expected impact of inflation is neutral to such price level, an unlikely quarter, plus interest rates more likely 6-September.
Although the February CPI-than-expected inflation expectations to promote strengthening, but many in the industry believe that the CPI or a drop in March. "Because after the Spring Festival, including pork and vegetables, including Food Significant price drop is expected in March CPI dropped slightly in the chain, up 2.5%. "Orient Securities analyst macroeconomic High-yi. I am a professional writer from China Manufacturers, which contains a great deal of information about watch carabiner , pew bows, welcome to visit!
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