2008 is a very special year for China and the world economy is facing a series of hot and difficult problems, RMB appreciation, rising raw material, macro-economic control, especially the recent outbreak of the international financial crisis, are inevitably our country by the international leather industry superposition of the domestic impact of multiple adverse factors, the development has encountered many new difficulties and new challenges, how to make China's leather industry is poised to spend a period of adjustment, resulting in a new round of challenges to continue to gain the initiative, we need to jointly explore a new topic. To this end, I (Su Chaoying) on the following issues with common exchange:
1, the current development of the industry's overall trend of import and export profiles
Despite many negative factors, China 2008, from January to August of leather, fur and related products industry still maintained a "stable and slight" development trend of rapid growth of production, production and marketing of convergence well, new product development capabilities, profitability has been increased dependence on foreign trade continued to decline; imports and exports to grow steadily, the proportion of the trade surplus declined. The whole industry is a strong anti-risk ability.
2008 from January to August, China's leather and fur industry, production is to maintain a growth trend, but the growth rate continued to fall; sales rate to maintain a high level; export delivery value of the proportion of total sales volume continues to fall; profit growth to accelerate slightly in the previous quarter However, year on year rate; import and export growth rate come down significantly; rapid growth of industrial output growth rate eased. 2008 January-August all the state-owned enterprises and the annual sales income over 5 million yuan of non-state-owned leather, fur and related products business (hereinafter referred to above-scale enterprises) 356.5 billion yuan industrial output value, up 20.7%, chain growth rate down 0.1 percentage points year on year growth rate down 2.8 percentage points. Although the growth rate in the fall, but on the whole we continue to maintain a growth trend. The export delivery value growth continued to fall, the proportion of total sales volume divided into four parts.
2008 from January to August for more than the size of leather, fur and products export delivery value of companies accounted for 38.1% share of sales value, a decline of 0.1 percentage points over the same period the previous year fell by 6.6 percentage points. Corporate profit growth to accelerate slightly in the previous quarter, but the year is still down. 2008 from January to August for more than the size of leather, fur and related products total amount of 15.74 billion yuan profits, an increase of 20.4% compared with January-May to speed up the growth rate 8.5 percentage points, down 12.8 percentage points year on year growth rate. 2008 from January to August for more than the size of leather, fur and related products business sales profit margin of 4.6%, compared with January to May increased by 0.4 percentage points, unchanged from a year earlier. Operation to maintain a high level of sales rate, up slightly. 2008 from January to August for more than the size of leather, fur and related products business production and marketing rate of 97.8% over the same period last year increased 0.1 percentage point. Import and export volume continues to grow, but the growth rate has apparently dropped. 2008 January-August leather, fur and products exported 27.92 billion U.S. dollars, up 7.9% year on year growth rate fell 5 percentage points; imported 3.74 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 1.2%.
From January to August this year, China exported 22,000 tons finished leather export amount of 310 million U.S. dollars, decreased by 63% year on year and 64%; 5.6 billion pairs of footwear exports, down 3.7%; export value of 18.4 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 13.3%. Among them, 790 million pairs of leather shoes exports, down 14.8%, export value of 6.62 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 1.7%. Chinese footwear imports continued to grow. From January to August this year, China imported a total of 23.4 million pairs of shoes, an increase of 84%, the amount of 490 million U.S. dollars of imports, an increase of 94%. Among them, imports of 11.53 million pairs of leather shoes, 3.3 billion U.S. dollars, respectively, year on year increase of 73.5% and 77.4%; the same time, the average unit price of China's leather shoe exports should continue to drastically increase this year, from January to August, leather skinned Shoes average export unit price 8.39 U.S. dollars, rising by 16.2%, representing a marked.
In 2007, China's footwear exports volume reached 8.488 billion U.S. dollars, export the amount of 25.305 billion U.S. dollars, compared with 2006 grew 8% and 16%, export average unit price of 2.98 U.S. dollars / double, compared with 7.25% growth in 2006. In China's footwear exports, leather shoes, the largest share of export volume reached 1.312 billion pairs, the export value 9.561 billion U.S. dollars, compared with 8.97% growth in 2006, accounting for all of our footwear exports, 37.78%; followed by the plastic shoes, 4.665 billion pairs of export volume, export value of 9.437 billion U.S. dollars, up 16.8% over 2006, accounting for 37.29% of footwear exports; textile exports of 1.738 billion pairs of shoes, face, the export value 3.879 billion U.S. dollars, increased 18.82% over 2006, accounting for footwear exports 15.33%.
In 2007, China's footwear exports of the top five markets is still the United States (32.5% of exports), EU-27 countries (18.5%), Russia (7.2%), Japan (6.9%) and Hong Kong (5.2%) . By the European Union of some Chinese leather shoes, the impact of anti-dumping, China's exports of leather footwear production in Europe increased from 2005 to 196 million pairs fell in 2007 181 million pairs, lower by 7.7%, export value increased by 15%, unit price from 7.13 U.S. dollars, up 8.3 U.S. dollars, increasing 16.4%. Guangdong Province is China's largest footwear production base, in 2007 export volume reached 3.683 billion pairs, exports amounted to 9.58 billion U.S. dollars, accounting for 37.9% of total footwear exports.
To sum up, in 2007 and 2008 from January to August, China leather, fur and products industry in general has been a good development, but quite different in different sectors. Leather, leather garments, fur and related products and other industries because of the greater impact on the state's macro-control policies, export substantially reduced; leather industry, due to EU anti-dumping, export tax rebate cut, all kinds of rising costs, RMB appreciation impact of multiple factors such as , the first drop in seven years, exports; only the luggage industry, leather production and export of machinery industry maintained a relatively high growth.
Second, the current overall situation facing the industry,
As the international and domestic economic pressures brought about by environmental changes, so that China's leather industry is facing many uncertainties and entered a more difficult period. Among these, both international and domestic large environmental impacts, there are leather industry itself has entered a period of industrial restructuring brought about by a painful one.
View from the international market, oil, food and energy prices, the dollar's decline, the financial crisis spread to the United States, Europe, Japan and the general economic downturn, so that export-oriented developing countries are a great challenge, the World slowdown in overall economic development. From the domestic market, the raw materials, labor and other costs continue to rise, the yuan continues to appreciate, national macroeconomic policy adjustments and other factors, a variety of adverse factors, superimposed effects in the leather industry began to appear.
From the industry itself, as the depth and breadth of China's opening-up are growing, international trade become more frequent, more complex forms of trade friction. EU in October 2006 began to lose my shoe collection Oupi face anti-dumping duty of 16.5%, at present, it began a sunset review investigation; international animal protection organizations wantonly attacking China's fur animal breeding industry; developed countries in the azo dye, formaldehyde, hexavalent chromium and other aspects of the prohibitions set, and the REACH regulations and other technical and trade began to be implemented; in 2006 our government to adjust the processing trade policy in 2007 to adjust export tax rebate policy, coupled with increasing demands on the energy-saving environmental protection, social responsibility pressures increase and other factors, making the leather industry is facing very serious challenges, but the entire industry, from the beginning of rapid development into the adjustment transition period. Throughout the past 30 years of development, China's footwear production has reached more than 100 million pairs, accounting for the world's total footwear 60%; light leather production of 680 million square meters, accounting for more than 20% of world production.
We can say that we use the low cost and doubled the number of export industries spurred the rapid development of world economy and capital market has undergone major changes, relying on the traditional industrial structure and development model to seek survival and development of the era has passed, industry is bound to enter the transition period. New difficulties and challenges are inevitable, such an adjustment and transformation of industrial development in line with the objective law, only the calm face, a positive response, in order to maintain the sustained and stable development of industries and enterprises.
Third, transfer of industry of the future industrial upgrading and development of an inevitable trend
1, the transfer of industries and promote industrial upgrading as China's leather shoe-making industry into a new round of adjustment, the resulting transfer of industries have begun to speed up the pace. We believe that the transfer of industries will be the future development of leather industry, a major trend, but also a major industrial structure optimization and upgrading the performance.
It is understood that the southeast coast of Guangdong province in particular, more companies have shifted outwards, but this shift is gradual, tentative. The direction of the transfer, preferred the more remote areas of the province, followed by Southeast Asia and China, such as the neighboring provinces of Jiangxi, Anhui, Hunan, or the domestic industrial base in certain areas, such as Sichuan, Chongqing and other areas. The transfer of a correct understanding of industry trends, to seize the opportunities for development in the transfer is very important.
2, transfer of industry can achieve win-win situation we have the European leather industry can learn from the experience of the transfer, but also to undertake the transfer of the southeast coast of China's rapid development of acquired experiences and understanding. This mutually complementary and mutually beneficial transfer of industries, not only to give transfer and the transfer of the region to undertake to bring good economic returns, a good solution to undertake regional labor and employment issues, but also be able to maximize the comparative advantages in their respective regions , so that both sides win-win situation, so that Chinese leather and footwear industry in the industry, the process of an orderly transfer to obtain sustainable development.
At present, although the industry faces many difficulties, but it should be noted that China has abundant resources of raw hides and skins, a sound industrial chain, a huge processing capacity, good processing technology and product quality as well as 13 million people, a huge market with huge potential These advantages are difficult to match elsewhere in the world, with China's government recently promulgated the leather garments, fur garments and other leather products from 5 percent export tax rebate is raised to 11% of good policy, China will strive to become the next 20-30 years, The goal of world leather production power still has a solid foundation, which, we are confident. I am an expert from China Product, usually analyzes all kind of industries situation, such as turtleneck cashmere sweater , cowl neck sweater.
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