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Favorable international market this year, is expected to increase in export volume of China's c by blair zhang





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Favorable international market this year, is expected to increase in export volume of China's c by
Article Posted: 04/26/2010
Article Views: 150
Articles Written: 829
Word Count: 758
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Favorable international market this year, is expected to increase in export volume of China's c


 
Business,Business News,Business Opportunities


    International agricultural information, despite China's fertilizer exports in 2009 hit the international financial crisis has led to falling prices of agricultural products, the International Fertilizer demand drop, and many other negative factors, but still achieved better results. In 2009 China exported 8.848 million tons fertilizer, only down 5% compared with 2008, far below the national foreign trade export an overall drop of 16% level. Overall, the 2010 prospects of China's fertilizer exports, export volume is expected to a certain degree of increase, mainly because there are four points:

First, to further liberal export policy. December 8, 2009 Customs Tariff Commission of the State Council announced the 2010 chemical fertilizer tariff adjustments, which stresses the superphosphate, fertilizer and other binary types of export tariffs from 10% down to 7%, urea, monoammonium phosphate, diammonium phosphate The off-season export tariffs from 10% down to 7%; urea off-season extended by two weeks from the original off-season four and a half months to 5 months, marking the further liberal export policies on China's fertilizer export opportunities.

Secondly, the international fertilizer demand in Japan. According to the International Fertilizer Industry Association released market analysis report, as the global economy to pick up, prices of agricultural products increases, the global fertilizer supply and demand in 2010 was fully warmed up, fertilizer demand is expected to increase 4.9% over 2009 to reach 165.8 million tons (pure, the next the same), in which nitrogen fertilizer demand growth 2.6% growth of 6.2% phosphate and potash increased by 13.5%.

In 2009, the financial crisis and the decline in agricultural prices on the global demand for fertilizer produced a significant negative impact on 2009 global fertilizer consumption was 158 million tons, of which 100.6 million tons nitrogen, phosphorus and 35.4 million tons, 22 million tons potash, than in 2008 dropped 1.5%, 10.5%, 19.8%.

Third, the high international oil prices Kai, fertilizer production costs. In early 2009, international oil prices, but more than 30 U.S. dollars per barrel, to the end of the year rose to 70 U.S. dollars in 2010, international oil price is expected 70 to 80 U.S. dollars is relatively high volatility; recent price of Russian natural gas supplies by the end of 2009 per thousand cubic meters of 208.12 U.S. dollars rose to 305.6 U.S. dollars, up 46.8%. Rising raw material prices will lead to fertilizer production costs, thus promoting international fertilizer prices, which is beneficial to China's fertilizer exports.

The fourth is a severe supply and demand in the domestic fertilizer market and forcing the enterprises to increase export efforts. With the new capacity increasing contradiction between supply and demand in China's fertilizer market will become increasingly prominent, and in 2010 China's urea production capacity is expected to be able to more than 67 million tons, while domestic demand is less than 5,000 million tons. China fertilizer market situation is, in addition to still need to import potash fertilizer, the nitrogen, phosphorus and compound fertilizer have been there has been a significant excess capacity, we must increase the export efforts to find markets in the international community in order to alleviate the supply and demand in the domestic fertilizer market contradiction.

However, we should see a substantial increase in fertilizer exports is unlikely, because the positioning of China's fertilizer industry is very clear, mainly to protect domestic supplies, the need to protect the farmers and national food security, and only in the domestic supply has excess circumstances, be appropriate export, fertilizer industry is not export-oriented industries. If the export of excessive, affecting the domestic fertilizer market supply, the state will raise export tariffs to take drastic measures to limit fertilizer exports.

    From the import side, as China in the international fertilizer market, the advantages become increasingly evident, coupled with the vast majority of their own species is the oversupply of foreign fertilizer increasingly difficult to enter China, the vast majority of chemical fertilizer in China is expected in 2010 varieties of imports will be further reduced, and only potash and a few other varieties of the absolute volume of imports in 2009 due to less demand for the domestic market and relatively large, the price is right circumstances, the import volume may be increased to some extent.

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