|
May 26, 2012 As Americans celebrate Memorial Day this weekend, President Obamaleads presumptive GOP nominee Mitt Romney in the all-importantelectoral college vote count, 247 to 206, according to a widelyreported Associated Press report released Saturday. To win thepresidency, a candidate must receive at least 270 electoral votes. If these springtime state-by-state polling numbers hold up throughElection Day on Nov. 6, the 2012 presidential election would bedecided in seven swing states with a total of 85 electoral votes:Florida (29), Ohio (18), Virginia (13), Colorado (9), Iowa (6),Nevada (6) and New Hampshire (4). Obama carried all theaforementioned states in 2008, but an AP assessment of currentpolls show them all too close to predict at this point. Although the AP article made mention of Obama worries in Wisconsin,it is not clear if Wisconsin is being counted as an Obama state ora Romney state in the AP"s 247-206 tally. The Real Clear Politics (RCP ) average for polls conducting between May 9 and May 22 shows Obamawith a 47.8 to 45 percent advantage over Romney in Wisconsin , with the most recent poll showing Obama with a 6-point lead. TheAP article indicates that if embattled GOP Gov. Scott Walkersurvives the recall vote in June, Romney may have a better chanceto win there in November. Recent polls show voters leaning toward keeping Walker in office. RCP sees the race differently than AP when it comes to assigningstates to Obama or Romney – the site"s current countshows Obama with 227 electoral votes likely or leaning his way,while Romney has 161 likely or leaning his way. RCP places Nevadain the "likely Obama" category, but adds these statesto the tossup category: Michigan (16), North Carolina (15), Arizona(11), Missouri (10) and Wisconsin (10). Of the seven states the AP listed as 2012 tossups, Obama"flipped" all but one of them, New Hampshire. WhileN.H. opted for Democrat John Kerry in 2004, the other six backedthen-incumbent President George w. Bush. Of the seven states, onlyIowa voted for Gore over Bush in 2000. In breaking down the state-by-state prospects of the swing states,Obama would seem to be the most vulnerable in Florida, judging fromrecent polls. A widely cited Quinnipiac poll released last weekshowed Romney with a six-point edge, 47-41, although an NBCNews-Marist poll released around the same time showed Obama up,48-44. When all the recent Florida polls are averaged by RCP, Romney leads by a half point, 45.3 to44.8. Obama holds a 4.9 percent advantage over Romney in the RCP averagenumbers for Ohio, 47.2 to 42.3. In Virginia , Obama holds a 2.5 percent advantage, 47.2 to 44.7 percent. Colorado also falls into Obama"s column at this point, as do Iowa , Nevada and New Hampshire . If you like writing about U.S. politics and the 2012 campaign,enter "The American Pundit" competition. Allvoices is awarding four $250 prizes each monthbetween now and November. These monthly winners earn eligibilityfor the $5,000 grand prize, to be awarded after the Novemberelection. SOURCES & RESOURCES: Obama would have edge over Romney in electoral college if electionwere today: report, N.Y. Daily News, May 26, 2012 Warning signs for Obama on path to electoral votes, Associated Press, May 26, 2012 Real Clear Politics Electoral College map Additional sources linked to in text. The e-commerce company in China offers quality products such as China Over Mold , Plastic Injection Molds Manufacturer, and more. For more , please visit 4-Axis CNC Milling today!
Related Articles -
China Over Mold, Plastic Injection Molds Manufacturer,
|
